Markets started the New Year on firm footing with equities in most countries posting modest gains in January. The US market finished 2% higher on continued optimism that President Trump’s pro-growth policies will stimulate the economy and boost corporate profits. In other major markets, Germany was up 1.8%, Hong Kong powered ahead by 6.2% and China improved 1.8% following the release of its December quarter GDP showing annual growth of 6.8%, marginally better than expected. The Australian market was slightly softer by 0.8% with weakness in industrials offset by the burgeoning resource sector boosted by strong bulk commodity and energy prices. The UK was also marginally weaker by 0.6% as the UK High Court ruled that Parliament must approve the decision to exit the EU before article 50 of the Lisbon treaty can triggered to commence the withdrawal process.
Bond markets were fairly subdued with Australian 10 year bonds 5bp firmer to close at 2.71% while US 10 year bond yields finished up just 1.6bp to 2.46%. Amongst the major commodities, iron ore was up 4.4% to continue its stellar run in 2016, copper was up 5.2%, while oil fell 2% after its strong advance last year. The AUD was 4.4% stronger against a weaker USD, which declined on most major crosses on profit taking following its surge in late 2016.